Doing a 500 mile radius search on cars.com search for a replacement of my current Mirage (manual transmission only), I see cars like this -
2015 DE - 59,640 miles/no accidents reported = $7,980
2018 ES - 122,435 miles/no accidents reported = $8,700
2018 ES - 70,395 miles/1 accident reported = $10,000
2017 ES - 29,066 miles/1 accident reported = $10,998
I only listed cars that showed an inside photo of the transmission, because a high percentage of manuals are listed incorrectly. 5-speed manuals are not real common even in the used market.
This is a very typical belief that you read about car depreciation -
"There's no pre-determined rate at which a vehicle will depreciate. Within the first year, many cars will lose up to 20% of their value. After that, they may lose about 15% more per year until the four-or five-year mark."
The first 4-5 years take the biggest hit. I think 20% the first year, and 10% the next 3-4 years was a common belief for years.
I paid $9,299 for my Mirage ES manual back in 2017. Using a car depreciation calculator, my Mirage's value should look like this -
1 minute = $8,462.09
1 year = $7,532.19
2 years = $6,416.31
3 years = $5,393.42
4 years = $4,556.51
5 years = $3,719.60
Depreciation calculator used -
https://www.omnicalculator.com/finance/car-depreciation
Let's say I paid the full window sticker ($14,220) for my 2017 Mirage ES manual. The numbers would look like this with the same depreciation calculator -
1 minute = $12,940.20
1 year = $11,518.20
2 years = $9,811.80
3 years = $8,247.60
4 years = $6,967.80
5 years = $5,688
If I tried to replace my 2017 ES manual with 85,000 miles today, I would be hard pressed to find one for $1,000-$2,000 less than what I paid for mine brand new. A low mileage one with no accidents reported would most likely cost more than what I paid for mine brand new almost 7 years ago.
I highly doubt I could have bought any other car on the market in 2017 that would have depreciated less my Mirage. Most vehicles depreciate approximately 20% the first year. $9,299 x .20 (20% depreciation) = $7,439. I would be hard pressed to find a car like mine for that price 7 years later!
This is why I found the highly discounted Mirage at White Bear so appealing at the time. If I had qualified for the 3 rebates at the time, my brand new Mirage would have been $9,299 - $1,500 rebates = $7,799, and that was a heck of a deal for any new vehicle including an economy car. It's why I have one in my driveway.
When people used to ask me why I drove a 1990 Ford Festiva for 14 years, my first reply back was the most it can depreciate is what I paid for it brand new ($5,300). Whether I drive my Mirage 10, 15, or 20 years, it can't depreciate more than what I paid for it.
The average 2024 new vehicle price is around $49,000. Put $49,000 in the depreciation calculator -
1 minute = $44,590
1 year = $39,690
After one year, $49,000 - $39,690 = $9,310 in depreciation (that's more than I paid for my Mirage). In 5 years, that $49,000 vehicle would have depreciated 3 of my Mirages according to the calculator!
Vehicles are money pits. I prefer shallow ones!!!