Last year, I made the decision that over the next year I was going to purchase two Mirages, one for me and one for the wife. I made this decision at least in part because this forum convinced me that these cars were cheap to buy, very reliable, very easy to work on, and the best mileage of any car on the road (that is not a hybrid).
After asking some initial questions on this forum (
here and
here) I determined that, for me, the 2017 model year was the optimal year, as it was the most stripped version possible and there were no show-stopping disadvantages associated with that year. I also wanted ones with less than 30K miles so I could change the CVT fluid and know that the transmission was not ill-maintained.
The plan was to spend the next year following the market and finding two low-mileage 2017's in the $10-$12K range. So, I've been looking for the past several months, and the markets I've been following are within a 500 mile radius of my city. That includes the Chicago, Minneapolis, Kansas City, and Denver markets.
Based on my anecdotal experience, plus all the news about how the dearth of new car production is really making low-priced used cars rare, I have noticed that Mirage prices are going up. I've been following these markets very closely for months and, despite the bad reputation, it seems to me that well-priced Mirages don't last long. Supporting that observation, just a few months ago, White Bear had brand new leftover 2022's for $16.9K, but now the cheapest new on they have is $18.1K. So, it really does seem like Mirage prices are going up, meaning my $10-$12K price range seemed to be in trouble.
A couple of weeks ago, CarMax had a 2017 locally that had only 15K miles, but (in true CarMax fashion!) they wanted $15.9K for it. That's really low miles, but even in the context of the higher prices of late, that price seemed too high so I didn't buy it.
Then last week, a 2017 with only
6,500 miles showed up on FB Marketplace at a dealer in MN for $13.9K. For that low of miles and given the apparently rising prices, I decided to go over my budget and get it. Flew to Minneapolis on Thursday (a week ago yesterday), bought it and drove it home. It's literally like a brand new car and I was pretty happy.
Then yesterday, the one at CarMax was reduced to $14.9K. Still not at my budget, but given the crazy low miles and the fact that I had just spent $13.9K + $0.5K (flight, cost to drive back) = $14.4K on the first one, I figured that $14.9K wasn't that much more so I went ahead and bought it. It's also like a brand new car.
So, while I was expecting to collect two cars over the year, by pure coincidence, I ended up getting both within one week of each other!
Even though I got two virtually new 2017 cars and the fact that I don't think I had that much choice given what I'm pretty sure is a rising price market in used cars, I still feel like I overspent on both of them. However, I did some calculations that make me feel a little better about it.
Using an
inflation calculator, the $13.9K I spent on the first one would be equivalent to $11.3K in 2017, while the $14.9K I spent on the second one would be equivalent to $12.1K in 2017.
Given that the MSRP for a new one (with CVT) was $14.2K in 2017, and the fact that I would not have qualified for many of the old White Bear discounts (military, loyalty, etc.), I think getting one for either $11.3K (~$3K off sticker) or $12.1K (~$2.1K off sticker) is probably about the best I would have done in 2017, and would have been considered to be a decent deal.
The only difference is that I didn't do the deal in 2017, but instead time-traveled back to 2017 and did the deal in 2023! Which also means I have an additional six years of life due to the fact that the cars have been in a time-capsule from 2017 until today.
So, while I don't feel like I got a killer deal, I think I did do ok on these deals, and even if I didn't, at least I did get exactly the cars I wanted in exactly the condition I wanted them in.
Thanks much to this forum for answering my questions and for all the other discussions I benefited from in studying my purchase!